0x6cbc0d8a23f7d31aee2f2a94e229dc102764e0d6
0x6cbc0d8a23f7d31aee2f2a94e229dc102764e0d6
- Realised P&L
- $9.07
- Volume
- $48.27
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $9.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.830 | $3.32 | +$2.32 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.979 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.670 | 0.983 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.925 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.175 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.210 | 0.150 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.340 | 0.220 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.42at 0.647US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.68at 0.379S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$0.94at 0.520Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17?
- +$0.87at 0.540Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.629Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:01 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:57 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:20 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:23 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:23 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 04:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6599999763 | $8.93 |
| 09-08 01:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |