albuquerque
0x6cb91e653a8c5026428f36229f65de886fc34f81
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $202.6k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $632.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.407Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.030Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.003Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$929.98at 0.690Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$833.62at 0.736Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.93 |
| 07-30 10:28 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.04 |
| 07-29 20:10 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.01 |
| 07-29 20:10 | Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $1.01 |
| 07-29 20:10 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:10 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.948 | $1.02 |
| 07-29 20:09 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.04 |
| 07-29 19:02 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.04 |
| 07-29 19:02 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.03 |
| 07-29 19:00 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.07 |
| 07-29 19:00 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $1.03 |
| 07-29 19:00 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.01 |
| 07-29 19:00 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 18:59 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.93 |