0x6cb6d8b1f51b674d2697e5c79f26fa76794b9713
- Realised P&L
- $-19.32
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $75.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.18at 0.302Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.500Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.28at 0.780Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.90at 0.804Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.58at 0.350Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 06:59 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 06-25 09:34 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 06-15 08:16 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 06-13 21:31 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 06-13 18:32 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.54 |
| 06-13 18:26 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.02 |
| 06-13 18:22 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 06-13 17:42 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 06-13 17:26 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.16 |
| 06-13 17:23 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.21 |
| 06-13 16:54 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 06-13 15:57 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-13 15:38 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $5.53 |
| 06-13 15:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.532 | $3.72 |
| 06-13 15:27 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.55 |