jorgemartinez
0x6cb446de8363fe3d982afdabb87d78663c91154a
- Realised P&L
- $11.76
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $57.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? · No | 0.550 | 0.585 | $35.90 | +$2.15 |
| Alanyaspor vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.570 | $21.96 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.36at 0.565Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$5.39at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 29?
- +$1.54at 0.640Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
- +$1.00at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 24?
- +$0.58at 0.570Yoon arrested by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:37 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999571 | $19.16 |
| 01-30 11:57 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989284579 | $11.31 |
| 01-30 11:56 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.06 |
| 01-30 11:55 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.69 |
| 12-30 02:16 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.63 |
| 12-30 01:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999475 | $6.65 |
| 12-30 00:21 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.96 |
| 12-29 20:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9989999789 | $42.07 |
| 10-30 21:48 | Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.07 |
| 10-30 21:17 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $19.37 |
| 10-30 20:10 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.75 |
| 09-29 13:58 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999935 | $10.92 |
| 09-29 02:15 | Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.34 |
| 09-29 01:25 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.14 |
| 09-29 00:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $10.46 |