PolyBot

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Traders

Aiden2006

0x6cb0f2bb3bfc941f9eca0d0f21c7aa6aea798fc5

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$57.4k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$109.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.1250.962$96.15+$83.65
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.645$6.45+$2.05
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7500.855$4.28+$0.53
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1900.105$2.63$2.13
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00$4.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.3400.000$0.00$5.10
Starmer out by August 31, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 03:04Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.75$3.75
09-09 03:03Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$4.40
06-20 02:24Starmer out by August 31, 2026?BUY0.07$2.80
06-20 02:24Starmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.16$4.00
06-20 02:23Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.34$5.10
06-20 02:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.53$7.95
05-12 05:25Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.47$5.64
05-06 14:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.52$6.24
05-05 09:19Iran closes its airspace by May 8?SELL0.2$3.20
04-29 09:55Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?SELL0.14$7.55
04-27 07:06Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL0.61$4.88
04-26 12:30Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.8$6.40
04-24 19:23US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?SELL0.48$14.40
04-24 17:10US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?SELL0.986$24.65
04-24 05:18DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?BUY0.9829495$196.59