0x6ca131ac49a6771b8ef2aa292539bc6ead4017e5
0x6ca131ac49a6771b8ef2aa292539bc6ead4017e5
- Realised P&L
- $799.87
- Volume
- $165.3k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$994.53at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 11?
- +$559.82at 0.083Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 13?
- +$485.01at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$447.87at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?
- +$350.36at 0.041Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.81 | $56.70 |
| 07-29 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-29 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.72 |
| 06-28 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.1574983333 | $28.35 |
| 06-28 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.60 |
| 06-28 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.1033377748 | $4.65 |
| 06-21 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.179 | $5.72 |
| 06-21 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.94 |
| 06-21 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.0597861237 | $27.95 |
| 06-21 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21? | BUY | 0.87 | $30.33 |
| 06-21 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21? | SELL | 0.5918522806 | $25.56 |
| 06-20 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21? | BUY | 0.65 | $34.42 |
| 06-20 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20? | BUY | 0.2916523151 | $59.27 |
| 06-20 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20? | SELL | 0.2105754199 | $12.66 |
| 06-19 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.41 |