0x6c9d6ed502ad688e580c2d01df4a06157bc2bf58
0x6c9d6ed502ad688e580c2d01df4a06157bc2bf58
- Realised P&L
- $127.88
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $88.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Clemson · Clemson | 0.140 | 0.135 | $48.21 | −$1.79 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.150 | $15.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.145 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $8.08 | −$1.92 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $6.43 | −$3.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.62at 0.367Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$97.73at 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.52at 0.124Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$47.33at 0.165Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$46.15at 0.308Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:04 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 07:05 | Miami (FL) vs. Clemson | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 07:04 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 07:03 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 19:38 | Clemson vs. LSU | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 13:55 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.104 | $10.01 |
| 08-29 12:40 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 16:41 | Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 16:40 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 16:40 | Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 16:40 | Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 16:19 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 16:18 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 16:18 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 23:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.92 |