PolyBot

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Traders

startrader644

0x6c9264336622411ea73283e7624bb2a6e00b1322

Realised P&L
$-11.3k
Volume
$2.00M
Markets traded
734
Open portfolio
$10.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded734
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.8750.945$5.2k+$390.14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.7620.930$2.6k+$469.29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.925$1.9k+$110.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8600.175$262.50$1.0k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.5670.115$253.95$997.49
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0360.022$225.00$134.97
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7400.044$44.50$695.50
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes0.3700.003$0.50$73.59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$195.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.68
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.6000.000$0.00$1.3k
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.7640.000$0.00$916.56
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? · No0.2580.000$0.00$8.00
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00$441.83
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$227.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:46Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.87$1.7k
08-04 17:37Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.93$503.15
08-04 17:36Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?BUY0.8561428571$599.30
07-19 07:29Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.9$647.10
06-18 07:49Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.89$890.00
06-17 04:59Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.16$127.84
06-17 04:57Starmer out by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6983302$698.33
06-17 04:50Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?BUY0.4766745819$142.53
06-15 04:49Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY0.63$441.00
06-15 04:42Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.6266216667$375.97
06-12 08:49Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?BUY0.44$121.00
06-12 08:47Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.62$229.40
06-11 09:41Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.04$80.00
06-05 05:07Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.8399106061$277.17
06-01 18:53Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.85$55.25