startrader644
0x6c9264336622411ea73283e7624bb2a6e00b1322
- Realised P&L
- $-11.3k
- Volume
- $2.00M
- Markets traded
- 734
- Open portfolio
- $10.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded734
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.3kat 0.000Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022?
- +$13.5kat 0.000NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 4.5 points in their April 24, 1:00 PM ET matchup?
- +$10.3kat 0.000Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
- +$10.1kat 0.500Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain?
- +$9.8kat 0.000Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.45 on April 29th, 2022?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:46 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.7k |
| 08-04 17:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.93 | $503.15 |
| 08-04 17:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.8561428571 | $599.30 |
| 07-19 07:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.9 | $647.10 |
| 06-18 07:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 06-17 04:59 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.16 | $127.84 |
| 06-17 04:57 | Starmer out by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6983302 | $698.33 |
| 06-17 04:50 | Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.4766745819 | $142.53 |
| 06-15 04:49 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $441.00 |
| 06-15 04:42 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.6266216667 | $375.97 |
| 06-12 08:49 | Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.44 | $121.00 |
| 06-12 08:47 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $229.40 |
| 06-11 09:41 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.04 | $80.00 |
| 06-05 05:07 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.8399106061 | $277.17 |
| 06-01 18:53 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.85 | $55.25 |