lixiaohua
0x6c8f9c14009a5b157501fbfe496792730b912c75
- Realised P&L
- $-26.79
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $14.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.09at 0.220Titans vs. Cardinals
- +$1.40at 0.986Will Solana hit $190 in March?
- +$0.80at 0.992Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.70at 0.993Will Elon tweet 475-499 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.50at 0.982Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.50 |
| 09-25 13:00 | Harvard vs. Brown | BUY | 0.82 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 06:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.80 |
| 06-07 12:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $95.00 |
| 05-28 09:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.9989999905 | $95.00 |
| 05-22 12:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $95.00 |
| 05-17 08:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $95.00 |
| 05-12 09:20 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999849 | $63.00 |
| 05-12 09:19 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.10 |
| 05-12 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.0021784475 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 09:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 05-07 08:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.00 |
| 05-03 11:17 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | BUY | 0.999 | $96.00 |
| 05-03 11:16 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.0031096171 | $2.00 |
| 04-26 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.99 |