0x6c8f92b8527ac58c4e64c0bf19419d7980e6b58e
0x6c8f92b8527ac58c4e64c0bf19419d7980e6b58e
- Realised P&L
- $-11.37
- Volume
- $402.90
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.890 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.780 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · No | 0.420 | 0.395 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.630 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.05at 0.592Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:44 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:23 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $162.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 21:01 | Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 13:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4339998993 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:21 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |