PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

optional1365

0x6c804736349ad1adf55439a705cb6391ac579218

Realised P&L
$2.45
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$34.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes0.9420.980$4.94+$0.19
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9420.973$4.90+$0.15
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes0.9400.969$4.90+$0.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9400.958$4.84+$0.09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.955$4.83+$0.23
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? · Yes0.9400.955$4.83+$0.08
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? · Yes0.9400.955$4.83+$0.08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6310.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres0.2600.000$0.00$1.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.0310.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.1580.000$0.00$4.00
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers · Los Angeles Angels0.2100.000$0.00$1.98
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals0.1800.000$0.00$2.09
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 11:36Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?BUY0.939999996$4.75
07-07 11:36Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?BUY0.9419999968$4.75
07-07 11:36Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?BUY0.939999996$4.75
07-07 11:36Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?BUY0.939999996$4.75
07-07 11:36Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?BUY0.9419999968$4.75
07-07 11:07Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999921$4.60
07-07 11:07Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.939999996$4.75
07-07 09:39Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9?SELL0.44529$4.45
07-07 09:06Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9?BUY0.47$4.70
06-25 12:47Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.84$2.00
06-25 12:46Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.630999905$2.00
06-23 16:45Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.86$5.00
06-14 09:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-10 06:57Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.85$14.62
06-10 06:57Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9169999932$10.12