optional1365
0x6c804736349ad1adf55439a705cb6391ac579218
- Realised P&L
- $2.45
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $34.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.33at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$8.83at 0.695Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
- +$8.35at 0.205Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$5.18at 0.386Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert
- +$3.22at 0.597Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 11:36 | Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 07-07 11:36 | Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9419999968 | $4.75 |
| 07-07 11:36 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 07-07 11:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 07-07 11:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.9419999968 | $4.75 |
| 07-07 11:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999921 | $4.60 |
| 07-07 11:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 07-07 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.44529 | $4.45 |
| 07-07 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 06-25 12:47 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 12:46 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.630999905 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 16:45 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 09:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 06:57 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.85 | $14.62 |
| 06-10 06:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9169999932 | $10.12 |