VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu
0x6c7d9ce7d08fbe1bf872fa825916802866a8d6eb
- Realised P&L
- $24.3k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 1,771
- Open portfolio
- $19.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,771
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.322Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
- +$2.4kat 0.053Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$2.3kat 0.030Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.1kat 0.332Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
- +$2.0kat 0.256Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:16 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1041540608 | $14.18 |
| 11-01 07:10 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.89 |
| 10-31 17:53 | Will Alejandro González Iñárritu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7742857143 | $162.60 |
| 10-31 07:03 | Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.998 | $194.61 |
| 10-31 06:54 | Will Teach You a Lesson be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.50 |
| 10-31 06:49 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0086321947 | $1.48 |
| 10-30 03:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.880520362 | $194.60 |
| 10-30 02:01 | Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8626434783 | $496.02 |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 17:42 | Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8391900285 | $1.1k |
| 10-28 05:23 | Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4592392111 | $241.45 |
| 10-28 04:58 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2391087169 | $122.06 |
| 10-27 08:48 | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.903836478 | $143.71 |
| 10-27 06:50 | Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4486535133 | $51.85 |
| 10-27 02:43 | Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.46 |