VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu
0x6c7d9ce7d08fbe1bf872fa825916802866a8d6eb
- Realised P&L
- $24.7k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 1,616
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,616
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.322Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
- +$2.4kat 0.053Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$2.3kat 0.030Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.1kat 0.332Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?
- +$2.0kat 0.256Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:12 | Will The Beloved win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0870659595 | $15.43 |
| 09-16 03:37 | Will Minotaur win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.018550236 | $5.50 |
| 09-16 02:53 | Will The Beloved win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0111212672 | $5.14 |
| 09-15 19:34 | Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.34 | $299.23 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.33 | $184.80 |
| 09-15 02:04 | Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | BUY | 0.96 | $192.91 |
| 09-15 01:35 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.5270075758 | $11.13 |
| 09-15 01:14 | Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | BUY | 0.93 | $444.45 |
| 09-14 18:36 | Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 09-14 18:16 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | SELL | 0.27 | $135.00 |
| 09-14 16:06 | Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.1196818254 | $37.69 |
| 09-14 14:40 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.0202863251 | $5.88 |
| 09-14 05:51 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.27 | $149.19 |
| 09-14 03:57 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.5698929423 | $358.68 |
| 09-13 19:30 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.055 | $15.40 |