Nickaswell
0x6c7cc9390990e1a34c510daf86df9b81511aa833
- Realised P&L
- $-84.44
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $65.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.23at 0.579Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
- +$52.19at 0.809Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$49.12at 0.574Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$40.91at 0.663Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?
- +$27.71at 0.178Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 19:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 19:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.042 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 07:09 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999936 | $25.00 |
| 05-24 07:05 | Will two people dissent the June Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1101948518 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 07:03 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0057044659 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 06:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 06:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | BUY | 0.1553398058 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 06:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0520000001 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 15:14 | Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.999 | $197.50 |
| 04-27 18:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | SELL | 0.5979751366 | $187.11 |
| 04-25 17:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $67.97 |
| 04-25 17:38 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5398920173 | $50.00 |
| 04-25 11:56 | Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.0597312042 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 18:38 | Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.0328085527 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 18:33 | Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.0699999958 | $15.00 |