Boswelldfb
0x6c792fe34cf26c8b101b36b07438a21c51d22d49
- Realised P&L
- $64.16
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $63.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.400 | 1.000 | $39.00 | +$23.40 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) · Buccaneers | 0.580 | 0.575 | $24.44 | −$0.21 |
| Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.15 |
| Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.88 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) · United States | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.16at 0.500Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$44.97at 0.321Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$27.33at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$19.06at 0.651Samsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda
- +$17.43at 0.500Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:31 | Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $24.65 |
| 09-05 06:39 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.96 |
| 09-05 06:38 | Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.60 |
| 09-05 06:37 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.00 |
| 08-13 01:49 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.69 | $28.98 |
| 07-27 11:01 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 07-27 11:01 | Samsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda | BUY | 0.64 | $35.01 |
| 07-27 10:58 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $54.84 |
| 07-23 08:48 | Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.88 |
| 07-09 02:23 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $31.92 |
| 06-24 02:42 | Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $10.79 |
| 05-27 12:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.59 | $18.53 |
| 05-26 11:10 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $41.95 |
| 05-26 11:10 | Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26? | BUY | 0.42 | $24.15 |
| 05-26 11:09 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $20.00 |