0x6c76c3a8d0ebfAF2516102884E7472CD9c7A1d72-1769676335335
0x6c76c3a8d0ebfaf2516102884e7472cd9c7a1d72
- Realised P&L
- $23.90
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.730 | $2.5k | +$0.40 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.890 | $2.1k | +$121.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.00at 0.740Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:34 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $131.04 |
| 10-11 22:28 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.01 |
| 10-11 22:24 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $116.40 |
| 10-11 22:16 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.87 |
| 03-30 20:17 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |