SarahS
0x6c6d83473c971bcbc468457e29a7aa6b2a00bd7e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.92
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $23.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Team Liquid | 0.730 | 0.725 | $23.93 | −$0.16 |
| Ohio State vs. Texas · Ohio State | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.79 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.52 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$356.17at 0.500Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$342.93at 0.500Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$166.32at 0.500Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$144.42at 0.500Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?
- +$27.23at 0.500Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:17 | LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.73 | $24.09 |
| 09-10 03:01 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $54.94 |
| 09-10 03:01 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.47 | $26.79 |
| 09-10 03:00 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.00 |
| 09-07 11:13 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.05 |
| 08-13 11:09 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.7 | $38.15 |
| 08-12 06:11 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 07-24 06:05 | Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-24? | BUY | 0.74 | $35.96 |
| 07-10 03:21 | Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $31.90 |
| 07-10 03:21 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.555 | $30.53 |
| 07-10 03:19 | Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 06-12 06:28 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.53 | $13.41 |
| 05-22 09:46 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | BUY | 0.6 | $19.62 |
| 05-22 09:43 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.7 | $2.93 |
| 05-22 09:37 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $40.96 |