PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6C6b36d8832F8BcDfE86D40418E26b9B4722bdED-1765393783617

0x6c6b36d8832f8bcdfe86d40418e26b9b4722bded

Realised P&L
$21.25
Volume
$417.10
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$13.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes0.2600.085$6.54−$13.46
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.045$3.97−$11.03
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9100.105$2.32−$17.68
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.4440.045$0.51−$4.49
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 22:07Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.733884297$12.00
05-10 21:57Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?SELL0.86$25.33
04-18 23:51Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?BUY0.669999995$19.47
03-20 05:16US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
02-24 05:53U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.4444444444$10.00
01-25 23:25Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
01-07 21:34Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.9099999909$20.00
01-06 21:54Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?SELL0.266$3.22
01-06 03:49Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
01-06 03:46Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.1652455951$2.00
12-24 21:36Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?BUY0.5447355366$20.00
12-24 19:41Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1699999908$15.00