Hawaiian
0x6c670c7f914c26d3c6127674a8c7b023089b2ea1
- Realised P&L
- $-98.43
- Volume
- $104.3k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $47.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.985 | 0.980 | $10.94 | −$0.06 |
| Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.987 | 0.980 | $10.92 | −$0.08 |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.845 | $9.18 | −$0.82 |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.840 | $8.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.926 | $7.86 | −$0.54 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| US bank failure by January 31? · No | 0.958 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.50 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.83at 0.670US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
- +$3.56at 0.080Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$3.50at 0.720Falcons vs. Panthers
- +$2.81at 0.810Maduro out in 2025?
- +$1.81at 0.847Chiefs vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:23 | Spread: IFK Goteborg (-3.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $7.30 |
| 09-29 15:09 | Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.40 |
| 06-03 18:56 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 18:56 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $15.00 |
| 02-11 18:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.56 |
| 02-11 18:45 | Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $11.00 |
| 02-11 18:45 | Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 02-11 18:45 | Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98499997 | $11.00 |
| 02-11 18:45 | Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.00 |
| 02-11 18:44 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999531 | $9.00 |
| 02-11 18:44 | Space FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9149999431 | $9.00 |
| 02-11 18:44 | Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999116 | $6.00 |
| 02-11 18:44 | Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 02-11 18:44 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999977 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 13:01 | Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $15,000 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.60 |