PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6C646972E5929BA709A3C1f1b8De7E93a6Ce91f8-1776338513284

0x6c646972e5929ba709a3c1f1b8de7e93a6ce91f8

Realised P&L
$30.79
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$61.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31? · No0.5600.505$18.04−$1.96
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? · No0.1700.165$14.56−$0.44
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.1900.200$10.53+$0.53
Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.3200.360$4.93+$0.55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.1930.186$4.82−$0.18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No0.4940.565$4.77+$0.60
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.4700.345$3.39−$1.23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.63
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00−$2.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$3.00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$1.84
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$6.64
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 14:10Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?BUY0.4940055916$4.17
10-18 14:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1929999981$5.00
10-18 14:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.014$0.01
10-18 14:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.013$0.58
10-18 14:07Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0439999995$2.00
10-18 14:05Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.32$4.38
10-18 14:03EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
10-18 14:01Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?BUY0.5599999955$20.00
10-18 13:53Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?BUY0.1699999983$15.00
10-18 13:52Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.013$0.30
10-18 13:51US military draft authorized in 2026?SELL0.035$0.75
07-19 19:17Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6074999942$37.22
05-07 17:59Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0959999633$2.20
05-07 17:58Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?SELL0.82$2.27
05-04 15:24Will Trump visit China by May 8?SELL0.001$0.07