Preludejay666
0x6c63ad7cb98412b20a95a3f89cf7d9a10ac00403
- Realised P&L
- $-41.39
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $17.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.545 | $17.30 | −$2.70 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.46at 0.500Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
- +$24.70at 0.541Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$18.45at 0.370Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
- +$14.83at 0.577Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$14.71at 0.436Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 06:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.7672862414 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 20:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 06-24 14:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.97 |
| 06-17 08:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 06-17 00:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | SELL | 0.884 | $32.73 |
| 06-15 10:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 00:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | SELL | 0.0774626866 | $2.08 |
| 06-13 03:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | SELL | 0.7574658703 | $35.51 |
| 06-03 17:01 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 14:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | BUY | 0.7461529468 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 06:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | BUY | 0.4265619045 | $20.00 |
| 05-27 02:39 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 13:31 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 13:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |