0x6c5dae7c3ba4518572e1a1f40bd2ff5450a311e7
- Realised P&L
- $-18.37
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $139.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.775 | $139.14 | −$26.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.07at 0.980MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$2.32at 0.964Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.87at 0.987Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14?
- +$0.32at 0.997Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?
- +$0.32at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 06:19 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $99.07 |
| 05-24 06:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.9788577976 | $164.45 |
| 05-01 08:19 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $161.84 |
| 03-31 00:15 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $158.76 |
| 03-20 04:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? | BUY | 0.997 | $159.52 |
| 03-15 07:08 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-14 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $159.68 |
| 03-14 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $159.68 |
| 03-14 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.987 | $153.97 |