luka.henjak
0x6c5c3653fef659cd238e453e70e588442fb8b186
- Realised P&L
- $-18.77
- Volume
- $209.77
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $24.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? · Yes | 0.871 | 0.965 | $11.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.755 | $5.43 | +$2.43 |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? · No | 0.430 | 0.455 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.435 | $3.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.33at 0.629Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.93at 0.560Lakers vs. Jazz
- +$3.25at 0.553Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
- +$2.46at 0.676Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?
- +$0.13at 0.780Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:15 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5519999856 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 00:14 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4169999771 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 00:13 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 23:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 23:19 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas? | BUY | 0.3745674635 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 23:18 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 23:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.50 |
| 10-26 23:07 | Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $5.13 |
| 10-26 16:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6219999933 | $14.01 |
| 10-26 16:24 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | BUY | 0.870999997 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:46 | Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:27 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:21 | Lakers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |