Voltaire-674
0x6c5419e5ecce1019865ecbc55d5501066629da75
- Realised P&L
- $-79.7k
- Volume
- $3.80M
- Markets traded
- 1,315
- Open portfolio
- $319.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,315
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe · Afghanistan | 0.960 | 0.999 | $319.95 | +$12.49 |
| Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia Ristic · Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.92 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic · Roman Safiullin | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.41 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. SSG Landers · SSG Landers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca · Joao Fonseca | 0.707 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$530.41 |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers FC leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$325.97 |
| Florida A&M vs. Alabama State · Alabama State | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$386.60 |
| Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Chiba Lotte Marines · Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.34 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-07-29? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherif · Simona Waltert | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.29 |
| Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton · Adam Walton | 0.575 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · India | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$262.85 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions · Lotte Giants | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.507Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
- +$8.2kat 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET
- +$8.1kat 0.426Georgia vs. Texas
- +$4.9kat 0.460Red Sox vs. Yankees
- +$4.5kat 0.432Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:54 | Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta | BUY | 0.9199999995 | $77.75 |
| 10-17 14:15 | Maia: Francesco Passaro vs Matej Dodig | BUY | 0.5299999962 | $30.53 |
| 10-17 14:02 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.56 | $33.66 |
| 10-17 14:00 | Will the match end in a draw? | SELL | 0.962 | $10.82 |
| 10-17 14:00 | Will the match end in a draw? | SELL | 0.963 | $22.87 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-14 17:37 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.10 |
| 10-14 17:37 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |