0x6c507dd29e3d5e839d829a0c5ed27b1f6cc326a7
0x6c507dd29e3d5e839d829a0c5ed27b1f6cc326a7
- Realised P&L
- $-212.31
- Volume
- $227.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $72.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.84at 0.318Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$2.76at 0.129Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?
- +$2.75at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$1.83at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 00:47 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 11-01 00:45 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $35.00 |
| 10-23 09:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.60 |
| 10-23 09:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-22 02:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-21 04:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-20 05:20 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 11:52 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |
| 10-18 08:14 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.16 |
| 10-17 11:57 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |
| 10-16 08:40 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.16 |
| 10-15 07:09 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.16 |
| 10-14 03:09 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.16 |
| 10-13 14:55 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.11 |