0x6c4e5869733cfc1336ae78e45af38733c7cb62e9
- Realised P&L
- $3.53
- Volume
- $431.00
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $113.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.20at 0.100Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
- +$0.57at 0.175Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.160Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 01:06 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 06-04 11:55 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 04-23 11:31 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.175 | $1.05 |
| 04-23 11:20 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.5410055556 | $4.87 |
| 04-23 11:20 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.804 | $4.02 |
| 04-23 11:19 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 04-23 11:19 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 04-23 11:18 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.539 | $9.16 |
| 04-23 11:04 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.82 |
| 04-16 14:08 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.097 | $2.04 |
| 04-16 14:08 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 04-16 14:07 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 04-14 10:42 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 04-14 10:42 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 04-11 03:37 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.15 |