0x6c4c18bc4484409b1806410d752d15b8ae00d17d
- Realised P&L
- $10.69
- Volume
- $62.6k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $32.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.056 | $21.11 | −$7.46 |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.095 | $9.80 | −$9.54 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$3.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.09at 0.569Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$50.86at 0.710Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5
- +$43.24at 0.332Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?
- +$28.96at 0.217Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- +$27.49at 0.642Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 19:03 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.3862347826 | $71.07 |
| 09-04 18:50 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.826 | $4.62 |
| 09-04 18:46 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8889999891 | $4.97 |
| 09-04 16:12 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.038877101 | $9.49 |
| 09-02 19:28 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.139999994 | $19.08 |
| 08-29 16:03 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.78 |
| 08-29 16:02 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-27 23:22 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BUY | 0.0827801374 | $13.44 |
| 08-24 20:44 | Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1874165462 | $19.34 |
| 07-30 22:23 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.2097282609 | $38.59 |
| 07-23 03:29 | Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22? | SELL | 0.87 | $71.31 |
| 07-23 00:36 | Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.32 | $26.23 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 07-19 21:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.74 |