PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

magicdogs

0x6c4a60498567a42ab93ee2442e5481c007f6bdf8

Realised P&L
$-421.58
Volume
$105.6k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9290.956$955.50+$26.50
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.645$657.90+$147.90
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.355$355.00$145.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.630$223.27$7.09
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7100.580$116.00$26.00
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? · Yes0.5200.430$47.66$9.97
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9980.997$44.87$0.04
SBF released from custody in 2026? · No0.9590.976$36.11+$0.63
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.8080.750$32.81$2.58
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9540.963$32.24+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 17? · No0.9990.999$28.96$0.01
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.943$28.29$0.47
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.966$16.41+$0.09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:54Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.998$44.91
09-17 02:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.999$28.97
09-17 02:47Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9586666667$28.76
09-17 02:47Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.9538358209$31.95
08-24 13:16SBF released from custody in 2026?BUY0.959$35.48
08-24 13:13Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$16.32
08-24 08:34Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?BUY0.998$34.93
08-24 08:33Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.57$558.60
08-24 08:33Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.42$420.00
08-13 13:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.012$18.00
08-13 13:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.27$405.00
08-13 13:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.73$1.1k
08-13 13:24Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?BUY0.52$57.63
08-13 13:23Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.96$21.12
08-13 13:23Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.968$40.66