magicdogs
0x6c4a60498567a42ab93ee2442e5481c007f6bdf8
- Realised P&L
- $-421.58
- Volume
- $105.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.280Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$56.18at 0.690SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
- +$22.98at 0.230Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.20at 0.969Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.961Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:54 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.91 |
| 09-17 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.97 |
| 09-17 02:47 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9586666667 | $28.76 |
| 09-17 02:47 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.9538358209 | $31.95 |
| 08-24 13:16 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $35.48 |
| 08-24 13:13 | Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $16.32 |
| 08-24 08:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.93 |
| 08-24 08:33 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.57 | $558.60 |
| 08-24 08:33 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 08-13 13:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $18.00 |
| 08-13 13:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.27 | $405.00 |
| 08-13 13:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.1k |
| 08-13 13:24 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? | BUY | 0.52 | $57.63 |
| 08-13 13:23 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $21.12 |
| 08-13 13:23 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $40.66 |