edwinpeters
0x6c480f8500c85afbe673f2dec84c636d2934be34
- Realised P&L
- $-2.57
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $37.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? · No | 0.640 | 0.740 | $35.45 | +$4.79 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? · No | 0.946 | 0.942 | $2.34 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.995Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
- +$0.27at 0.986Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.13at 0.991Yoon out of custody by July 31?
- +$0.10at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.10at 0.995Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:41 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.57 |
| 01-30 16:49 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.49 |
| 01-30 16:00 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999861 | $7.46 |
| 01-30 15:01 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.78 |
| 01-30 12:43 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.09 |
| 12-30 14:01 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.79 |
| 12-30 00:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.84 |
| 12-30 00:24 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.57 |
| 12-29 19:55 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $11.20 |
| 12-29 19:20 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $56.05 |
| 10-31 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999466 | $12.33 |
| 10-30 20:16 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.73 |
| 09-29 13:16 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999194 | $11.74 |
| 09-29 05:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.04 |
| 09-29 02:46 | Will Solana reach $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.91 |