0xac2dc376e3E2a76C6920Bd564acaB5416B1b767b-1734698622996
0x6c427a44019f1520e98b81853b0831d5662be947
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $45.8k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $71.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.720 | $71.14 | −$7.90 |
| Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B · EDward Gaming | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.80 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.13 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · TYLOO | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.93 |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · Team Liquid | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers · Nuggets | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$412.53at 0.324Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$145.31at 0.839England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5
- +$145.15at 0.854Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5
- +$133.85at 0.777Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
- +$120.00at 0.600United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 02:27 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $79.05 |
| 10-17 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 10-17 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 10-17 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 10-17 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 10-17 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 10-17 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 10-17 13:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 10-17 04:29 | Nuggets vs. Lakers | SELL | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $13.43 |
| 10-15 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-15 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $49.10 |
| 10-15 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |