rbpol
0x6c2b5ef77e9ac3c967bd1d991de3aae7fc4d09ec
- Realised P&L
- $-302.71
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $24.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? · No | 0.610 | 0.735 | $14.70 | +$2.50 |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.410 | $8.20 | −$1.80 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Broncos | 0.141 | 0.755 | $1.55 | +$1.26 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.05at 0.159Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
- +$9.48at 0.172Spread: Rams (-6.5)
- +$8.71at 0.245Spread: Bills (-3.5)
- +$6.60at 0.110Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
- +$6.30at 0.150Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:07 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 11-01 23:55 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 40.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 11-01 23:44 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 23:26 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $4.20 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.572408368 | $3.77 |
| 11-01 23:13 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $1.70 |
| 11-01 23:09 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 23:08 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.2799999961 | $2.90 |
| 11-01 23:03 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4099999775 | $4.20 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.6650370282 | $6.70 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | SELL | 0.63 | $5.29 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $3.04 |
| 11-01 22:31 | Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.3499999757 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 22:24 | Spread: Patriots (-7.5) | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |