PolyBot

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Traders

Lakewoodlenny

0x6c2a2c4f9a6c0590aaf8e173176177fa9eb42cdb

Realised P&L
$-178.35
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$31.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.4760.630$13.24+$3.24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6970.860$12.34+$2.34
X banned in any European country by December 31? · Yes0.2000.115$5.75$4.25
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of April? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.90
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 2? · Up0.3350.000$0.00$11.40
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$13.30
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.4630.000$0.00$17.40
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$10.00
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3160.000$0.00$14.05
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$3.70
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 13:41Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4799999983$100.00
04-29 03:50Ducks vs. OilersBUY0.06$4.80
04-27 20:22Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.025$2.50
04-16 22:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.36$3.60
04-11 14:18Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.29$2.90
04-08 03:22Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.004$5.00
04-08 03:19Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.37$7.40
04-05 18:21Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?BUY0.2$5.20
04-05 18:09Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.09$5.40
04-05 18:07Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.09$5.40
04-05 18:02Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.34$10.20
04-05 17:56Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2671517672$3.86
04-05 17:54Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.69$6.90
04-04 20:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$2.10
04-03 09:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.60