PolyBot

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Traders

Pokymarket

0x6c07d5dcaa876555d315d928d964408f028b48d9

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$495.8k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.7500.966$966.00+$216.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.3700.925$925.00+$555.00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.735$734.99+$195.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4250.433$433.50+$8.50
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · Yes0.6500.675$337.50+$12.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5750.612$249.11+$15.06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2750.335$161.16+$28.92
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4590.105$156.39−$527.06
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1300.105$107.31−$25.55
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$835.40
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$1.1k
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4450.000$0.00−$890.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00−$2.2k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$315.00
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4170.000$0.00−$835.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 22:51Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?BUY0.75$750.00
08-23 21:20Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.35$259.08
07-28 23:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.56$279.99
07-28 23:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$0.46
07-15 17:58Argentina to score first vs. England?BUY0.44$440.00
07-15 14:44England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4625$925.00
07-14 06:37France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$1.0k
07-11 04:59Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.645$1.8k
07-11 04:50Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.4425$885.00
07-11 04:41Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.3025$605.00
07-11 04:32Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.58$580.00
07-11 04:31Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5BUY0.4175$835.00
07-11 04:30Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.46$460.00
07-10 17:21Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.24$480.00
07-10 16:26Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5BUY0.445$890.00