fkpd
0x6c06bb8ccea81d94f0f5681235c155836f00171d
- Realised P&L
- $201.90
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $309.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.88at 0.559Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 27?
- +$40.78at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 5?
- +$35.92at 0.587Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 7?
- +$33.69at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2?
- +$33.21at 0.752Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.579999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.7992007992 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.7299999966 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.495541121 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.0453791432 | $5.80 |
| 10-06 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1563462788 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5748265584 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.4512465833 | $54.48 |
| 10-05 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.4141211331 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.995 | $142.31 |