PolyBot

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Traders

fkpd

0x6c06bb8ccea81d94f0f5681235c155836f00171d

Realised P&L
$201.90
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$309.83

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:17Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.579999997$50.00
10-08 07:15Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 10?BUY0.4899999968$50.00
10-07 10:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.8499999983$50.00
10-07 09:59Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.7992007992$50.00
10-07 09:57Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8?BUY0.829999998$50.00
10-07 09:56Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.7299999966$50.00
10-07 08:46Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 8?BUY0.495541121$50.00
10-07 08:34Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9?BUY0.7699999992$50.00
10-06 16:47Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 6?SELL0.0453791432$5.80
10-06 16:27Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 6?BUY0.1563462788$20.00
10-06 14:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8?BUY0.4099999984$50.00
10-06 09:20Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 7?BUY0.5748265584$50.00
10-06 02:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6?SELL0.4512465833$54.48
10-05 14:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6?BUY0.4141211331$50.00
10-04 23:58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 5?SELL0.995$142.31