0x6c054aa8304f5dfd5f226f3eb992e3f2abcfc1b8
- Realised P&L
- $-100.49
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $43.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.260Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
- +$-0.18at 0.158Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
- +$-0.20at 0.120NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.21at 0.150Iran leadership change by December 31?
- +$-0.27at 0.104Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:09 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $6.53 |
| 09-17 08:03 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.034 | $5.47 |
| 09-17 08:01 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.98 |
| 09-17 07:35 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 07:34 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.005 | $8.16 |
| 09-17 07:34 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.30 |
| 09-17 07:26 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.96 |
| 09-17 07:21 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.035 | $9.73 |
| 09-17 07:18 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.025 | $6.50 |
| 09-17 07:08 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.12 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.026 | $6.76 |
| 09-17 06:51 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.85 |
| 09-17 06:48 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $4.25 |
| 09-17 06:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 06:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.14 |