PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

enormous

0x6bf71e33598992bded475fcba6f56eba535ef854

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$48.9k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6050.935$231.79+$81.79
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0490.049$197.70$2.30
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0310.022$149.42$56.78
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9070.957$137.11+$7.11
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8800.830$47.16$2.84
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3000.395$46.08+$11.08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1000.360$36.05+$26.05
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7540.120$31.82$168.18
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0430.047$22.10+$2.10
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.043$21.75$18.25
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2120.021$21.34$188.66
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4060.170$20.93$29.07
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7500.725$19.33$0.67
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2930.105$10.74$19.25
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.032$8.59$21.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 21:38Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0310519439$200.00
07-19 21:57Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0759999867$5.00
07-19 10:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999988$200.00
07-10 19:35Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0629999997$200.00
07-10 15:08Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999993$30.00
07-10 14:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999987$40.00
07-10 14:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1809999729$5.00
07-10 14:54Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
07-10 14:54Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999946$10.00
07-04 21:53Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?SELL0.047$5.45
07-04 21:52Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?SELL0.23$14.38
07-04 21:23Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.16$10.00
07-04 21:20Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.0429999921$5.00
06-29 14:20Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
06-29 14:19Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.7541375095$80.00