onesmallball
0x6bf425b7c8ae94c6878a31e14d4ffce0ee02caf8
- Realised P&L
- $10.21
- Volume
- $774.05
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $51.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 14?
- +$1.50at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 15?
- +$1.50at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?
- +$1.45at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 26?
- +$1.45at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-04 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-04 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 08-03 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.955 | $4.77 |
| 08-02 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-01 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-01 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-01 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-01 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 07-31 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |