JanJansen2310
0x6bea2eb252ddaebce5fa08433a7eb2508280bf97
- Realised P&L
- $-58.38
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $5.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.07at 0.140Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
- +$11.22at 0.090Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
- +$9.80at 0.019Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
- +$8.74at 0.484Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$8.05at 0.287Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:56 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.041 | $3.84 |
| 07-17 18:28 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0619697264 | $24.91 |
| 07-14 14:17 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-14 14:14 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.405 | $4.86 |
| 07-14 12:19 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $5.38 |
| 07-05 10:39 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 07-05 10:33 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.34 | $2.04 |
| 07-05 10:18 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.51 |
| 07-02 14:50 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.04740008 | $2.37 |
| 06-30 11:05 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 06-30 11:05 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 06-30 11:04 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 06-30 11:03 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.71 |
| 06-29 15:42 | Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 06-29 15:39 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |