Trumplol
0x6bea184d24deac1e6ce9bc5d89facb6274585d50
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $4.44M
- Markets traded
- 3,818
- Open portfolio
- $853.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,818
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner · Kawaii Kiwis | 0.485 | 0.995 | $438.49 | +$224.67 |
| LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner · Verdant | 0.348 | 1.000 | $414.03 | +$269.82 |
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner · Team Synapse | 0.502 | 0.001 | $0.56 | −$564.72 |
| LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 1 Winner · Kawaii Kiwis | 0.352 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$105.25 |
| Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner · Luminosity | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.382LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)
- +$3.0kat 0.388LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner
- +$2.9kat 0.412LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)
- +$2.8kat 0.268LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner
- +$2.6kat 0.500Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 17:33 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.0391389432 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 17:22 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2936010023 | $39.00 |
| 09-23 17:16 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2999999963 | $16.00 |
| 09-23 17:16 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3171326676 | $20.01 |
| 09-23 17:15 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $15.20 |
| 09-23 17:14 | LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4252747225 | $54.00 |
| 09-23 17:12 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 17:06 | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C | SELL | 0.999 | $154.43 |
| 09-23 17:01 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $16.00 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4499999974 | $17.00 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $19.80 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4261491719 | $35.77 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $15.54 |
| 09-23 16:59 | LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3793842962 | $43.00 |
| 09-23 16:57 | LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.41 | $36.08 |