PolyBot

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Traders

Kennethnews

0x6be4888eacec4e0b84781ee20801a040b5a4dcbb

Realised P&L
$-985.89
Volume
$49.6k
Markets traded
406
Open portfolio
$73.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded406
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1090.115$73.54+$3.78
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.3000.105$0.27$0.50
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · No0.5000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:45Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17?SELL0.999$49.95
09-08 10:46Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 8?SELL0.998$39.92
09-08 08:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 8?SELL0.03$0.59
09-08 04:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 8?SELL0.999$39.96
09-07 07:52Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 7?SELL0.994$39.75
09-06 06:23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 6?SELL0.88$35.20
09-05 07:27Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?SELL0.999$39.96
09-01 02:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.001$0.10
08-31 01:55Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?SELL0.02$2.80
08-29 09:06Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?SELL0.01$1.38
08-29 08:49Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?SELL0.02$0.98
08-29 08:48Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?SELL0.03$0.81
08-29 08:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 29?SELL0.0751962376$2.04
08-28 09:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?SELL0.02$1.00
08-27 10:19Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 27?SELL0.999$30.74