PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kennethnews

0x6be4888eacec4e0b84781ee20801a040b5a4dcbb

Realised P&L
$-692.96
Volume
$40.2k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$300.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1130.115$67.53+$1.43
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2000.225$45.00+$5.00
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.7000.705$42.30+$0.30
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3430.280$37.56$8.39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.4800.315$31.50$16.50
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? · Yes0.4500.155$31.00$59.00
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.3000.220$30.80$11.20
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.8000.290$14.50$25.50
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · No0.5000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:00US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.42$42.00
07-31 01:15Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?BUY0.7$42.00
07-29 12:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.42$42.00
07-20 14:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.61$42.70
07-20 14:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.44$11.59
07-20 14:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.45$30.90
07-20 14:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.46$2.30
07-20 14:09Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?SELL0.805$64.40
07-19 01:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.74$51.79
07-10 15:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.55$38.50
07-08 15:11US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.48$23.04
07-08 12:51China ballistic missile launch by December 31?SELL0.74$7.40
07-08 03:18China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.61$3.05
07-08 03:12China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.61$3.05
07-02 10:17US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?SELL0.07$11.71