huox2uan831
0x6be19bfaf53f0fdc7ae2f5ece7409a3c202ba34a
- Realised P&L
- $148.75
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.989 | 0.995 | $1.97 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$56.52at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$10.00at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7PM ET
- +$0.70at 0.681Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.910Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 23:48 | Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999985 | $1.96 |
| 08-14 05:57 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9299998984 | $1.83 |
| 07-17 04:54 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.57 |
| 06-06 06:13 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9699993819 | $1.02 |
| 06-06 06:12 | Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.22 |
| 06-06 06:12 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9829999929 | $2.22 |
| 05-08 04:57 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C or below on May 9? | BUY | 0.9989992616 | $1.15 |
| 05-08 04:56 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.24 |
| 05-08 04:55 | Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9499998671 | $4.29 |
| 04-12 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.40 |
| 04-12 04:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9839998713 | $2.14 |
| 04-12 04:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.909999818 | $4.70 |
| 03-15 02:00 | Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.10 |
| 03-15 02:00 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9729999935 | $2.40 |
| 03-15 01:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.60 |