oxbus
0x6be049212477c106df53248dcd5c7ec338539ac7
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $32.25M
- Markets traded
- 1,155
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,155
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · G2 Esports | 0.420 | 0.425 | $849.98 | +$10.00 |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) · Eagles | 0.590 | 0.585 | $639.52 | −$5.47 |
| Spread: Eagles (-6.5) · Bears | 0.590 | 0.600 | $14.45 | +$0.24 |
| Spread: Eagles (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.400 | 0.400 | $9.31 | +$0.00 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.84 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.63 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Chargers | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.3kat 0.409Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$154.0kat 0.071Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$90.5kat 0.227Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$83.8kat 0.321Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$68.7kat 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 01:28 | Spread: Clemson (-1.5) | SELL | 0.46 | $182.85 |
| 09-26 01:27 | Spread: California (-1.5) | SELL | 0.57 | $82.84 |
| 09-12 14:36 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.76 | $186.88 |
| 08-28 01:52 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.05 |
| 08-28 01:52 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.85 | $11.30 |
| 08-28 01:52 | Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9919685039 | $40.31 |
| 08-28 01:52 | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.9912298709 | $48.38 |
| 08-28 01:52 | LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | SELL | 0.43 | $68.98 |
| 08-27 14:37 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.81 | $242.19 |
| 08-25 09:34 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | SELL | 0.3 | $89.99 |
| 08-21 02:08 | Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks | SELL | 0.78 | $229.48 |
| 08-17 08:38 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 08-17 08:38 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.5216260163 | $128.32 |
| 08-17 08:37 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | SELL | 0.31 | $93.00 |
| 08-17 08:37 | Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs | SELL | 0.5 | $150.00 |