0x6BDc3a068C07f53C7b1F9E138D1A6d581b129036-1782043331159
0x6bdc3a068c07f53c7b1f9e138d1a6d581b129036
- Realised P&L
- $32.42
- Volume
- $639.60
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $225.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.445 | $111.25 | +$11.25 |
| Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.415 | $34.30 | +$13.21 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.395 | $30.38 | +$10.38 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.203 | 0.255 | $25.09 | +$5.09 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $20.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.165 | $4.35 | +$0.13 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:25 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.22 |
| 09-14 21:36 | Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? | BUY | 0.24 | $14.80 |
| 09-14 21:36 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:15 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.203291383 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |