0x6BDc3a068C07f53C7b1F9E138D1A6d581b129036-1782043331159
0x6bdc3a068c07f53c7b1f9e138d1a6d581b129036
- Realised P&L
- $58.71
- Volume
- $739.60
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $282.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 1.000 | $150.00 | +$90.00 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.989 | $76.08 | +$56.08 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.225 | $23.68 | +$3.68 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.203 | 0.170 | $16.72 | −$3.28 |
| Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.160 | $13.23 | −$7.87 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.090 | $2.37 | −$1.85 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:39 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9966999 | $99.67 |
| 09-15 12:25 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.22 |
| 09-14 21:36 | Will Barcelona finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? | BUY | 0.24 | $14.80 |
| 09-14 21:36 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:15 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.203291383 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 21:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |