xzbywf2026a8
0x6bdbb0740c7c2c026cad3f062968a344ec6c4278
- Realised P&L
- $-405.14
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $98.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? · No | 0.952 | 0.982 | $98.14 | +$2.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? · No | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.60 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$258.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.70at 0.860Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$8.31at 0.951Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?
- +$7.25at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?
- +$7.20at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?
- +$6.72at 0.970Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 20-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 15:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.976 | $223.70 |
| 04-04 10:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $218.75 |
| 03-30 11:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $221.78 |
| 03-28 15:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | BUY | 0.985 | $197.00 |
| 03-20 12:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | BUY | 0.988 | $214.40 |
| 03-19 08:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 03-18 09:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $214.14 |
| 03-14 11:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.999 | $212.79 |
| 03-13 08:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.985 | $209.78 |
| 03-12 14:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $209.37 |