0x6bd612dbd2e05b17bece28070ebd7544917d82e4
- Realised P&L
- $1.82
- Volume
- $80.49
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $6.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.340 | 1.000 | $2.94 | +$1.94 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.925 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.245 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.095 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.480S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?
- +$0.83at 0.550Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:11 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:03 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:54 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:09 | Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:03 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:20 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 02:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 3? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 21:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 03:36 | Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |