PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x6bd612dbd2e05b17bece28070ebd7544917d82e4

Realised P&L
$1.82
Volume
$80.49
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$6.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.3401.000$2.94+$1.94
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6400.925$1.45+$0.45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7200.825$1.15+$0.15
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2800.245$0.88$0.12
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6500.095$0.15$0.85
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · Yes0.4700.001$0.00$1.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · No0.3800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:27Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 14:11Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-14 06:03Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-13 22:00Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-10 08:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-09 16:54Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-09 08:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4$1.00
09-08 14:09Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-08 05:03Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-07 13:20Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
09-04 02:12S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
09-03 08:47S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 3?BUY0.65$1.00
09-02 21:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.33999983$1.00
09-01 11:47Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
09-01 03:36Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7299998102$1.00