Tidings7050
0x6bd46ed1d3a754568fbd75338c9cc5b9537b0f62
- Realised P&L
- $14.14
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $14.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.650 | $14.30 | +$3.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.95at 0.110Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
- +$5.01at 0.234Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
- +$4.50at 0.500Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?
- +$3.94at 0.390Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
- +$3.34at 0.350Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:31 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-13 08:13 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-13 04:51 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.70 |
| 07-11 22:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.2125 | $4.25 |
| 07-11 22:21 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.225 | $4.50 |
| 07-11 21:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.185000007 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:43 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2749999683 | $4.99 |
| 02-07 14:55 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.32 |
| 02-07 07:21 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 02-06 14:41 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3738487639 | $7.71 |
| 02-06 14:22 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.74 |
| 02-06 04:29 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $11.52 |
| 02-05 18:49 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $11.53 |
| 02-05 15:45 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.00 |
| 02-05 09:13 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.72 |