0x6bd387d9aee711b2c8537facd88e9f3627d443a8
- Realised P&L
- $0.64
- Volume
- $36.32
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $7.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.285 | $1.56 | +$0.30 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.850 | $1.51 | +$0.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $1.51 | +$0.47 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.620 | 0.585 | $1.19 | −$0.07 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.565 | $1.13 | −$0.13 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.095 | $0.18 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.11at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$0.81at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.63at 0.669Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.728Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.39at 0.767Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:08 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.7599998794 | $1.26 |
| 09-15 09:14 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6199997146 | $1.26 |
| 09-14 22:08 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999945 | $1.26 |
| 09-14 14:02 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999549 | $1.26 |
| 09-14 06:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.26 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6499998452 | $1.26 |
| 09-11 07:25 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998552 | $1.26 |
| 09-10 23:23 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999686 | $1.26 |
| 09-10 14:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4099999642 | $1.26 |
| 09-10 03:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.3699999354 | $1.26 |
| 09-09 17:36 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.26 |
| 09-09 09:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $1.26 |
| 09-08 16:16 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.26 |
| 09-08 07:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6899999668 | $1.04 |