PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6bd387d9aee711b2c8537facd88e9f3627d443a8

Realised P&L
$0.64
Volume
$36.32
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$7.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2300.285$1.56+$0.30
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7100.850$1.51+$0.25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.6901.000$1.51+$0.47
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6200.585$1.19$0.07
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6300.565$1.13$0.13
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6500.095$0.18$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:08Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.7599998794$1.26
09-15 09:14Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6199997146$1.26
09-14 22:08Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2299999945$1.26
09-14 14:02Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7099999549$1.26
09-14 06:01Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.63$1.26
09-13 22:00Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6499998452$1.26
09-11 07:25Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7299998552$1.26
09-10 23:23Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6599999686$1.26
09-10 14:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4099999642$1.26
09-10 03:17SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.3699999354$1.26
09-09 17:36Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.72$1.26
09-09 09:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6099999322$1.26
09-08 16:16LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.21$1.26
09-08 07:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6899999668$1.04