Vaughansd
0x6bce34afba9ffa8f4f8c83c3a09fe34ef3706cc0
- Realised P&L
- $2.91
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $6.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.19at 0.640Grizzlies vs. Magic
- +$4.58at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.800Thunder vs. Bulls
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969998613 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 05:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.997999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 05:07 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.991 | $10.09 |
| 05-28 01:48 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $10.10 |
| 04-16 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.14 |
| 03-17 03:34 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.55 |
| 03-11 06:30 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.86 |
| 03-04 07:12 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.88 |
| 03-03 06:34 | Thunder vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.8 | $3.50 |
| 01-22 09:02 | Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $216.89 |
| 01-22 06:52 | Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $217.11 |
| 01-22 06:49 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.997 | $221.72 |
| 01-22 03:50 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $221.95 |
| 01-22 03:47 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.994 | $223.88 |