o3027
0x6bcd48f75827ddb6f965f7d96727e10adc3406b9
- Realised P&L
- $212.02
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.555 | $1.7k | +$15.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $750.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $694.57 | −$27.54 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.115 | $625.45 | −$244.73 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.145 | $562.37 | −$10.60 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.305 | $432.80 | +$63.86 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.105 | $330.69 | +$18.75 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.155 | $185.62 | +$5.99 |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.989 | 0.994 | $10.07 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.6kat 0.500Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.3kat 0.009Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$52.7kat 0.007Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$49.5kat 0.005Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$44.3kat 0.035Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 13:05 | Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.011 | $6.38 |
| 08-23 07:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $3.10 |
| 08-22 14:55 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.80 |
| 08-15 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 08-08 02:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $37.86 |
| 08-05 04:46 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $44.00 |
| 08-05 04:45 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $62.34 |
| 08-05 02:52 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.918 | $173.29 |
| 07-20 07:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.934 | $42.96 |
| 06-29 05:22 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $621.00 |
| 05-09 06:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.033 | $8.17 |
| 05-08 02:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $145.25 |
| 05-07 11:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.168 | $43.18 |
| 05-07 00:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $102.07 |
| 05-04 23:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0238341536 | $74.77 |