Overmind
0x6bb14fda6a095bb5dc1061d5ca3ba5f1888b477d
- Realised P&L
- $-150.24
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $188.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.165 | $133.65 | −$32.35 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.120 | $28.08 | +$8.08 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No | 0.234 | 0.155 | $26.52 | −$13.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$300.00at 0.250Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$32.35at 0.864Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?
- +$1.65at 0.982Trudeau out in 2024?
- +$-20.00at 0.090Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$-40.00at 0.426SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 20:03 | SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4257952677 | $40.00 |
| 02-15 20:01 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $60.00 |
| 01-29 03:15 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.3099999966 | $60.00 |
| 01-21 00:01 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 01-20 23:52 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.2337427037 | $40.00 |
| 01-20 23:52 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.0854603427 | $20.00 |
| 01-10 00:33 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 12-15 05:05 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.2538246972 | $100.00 |
| 02-18 01:25 | Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 18:58 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15? | BUY | 0.7784431131 | $50.00 |
| 01-03 19:23 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15? | BUY | 0.8953419114 | $155.00 |
| 12-13 22:56 | Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024? | BUY | 0.75 | $106.00 |
| 12-05 07:37 | Trudeau out in 2024? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $90.00 |