0x6ba3046ece1558ff12018742f3be1a7d415b44ea
- Realised P&L
- $-101.44
- Volume
- $945.62
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $96.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.966 | $96.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.02at 0.502Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.94at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$0.48at 0.680Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 07:35 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.9757615922 | $97.00 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 07-16 05:01 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.429999953 | $2.38 |
| 07-16 05:00 | Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.52 |
| 07-07 06:44 | Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.5699999962 | $4.51 |
| 07-07 06:44 | Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 06:44 | Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 19:07 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.50 |
| 07-06 05:34 | Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.7276060718 | $9.26 |
| 07-06 05:32 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 05:26 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 05:24 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 05:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 22:14 | Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 22:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |